07 April 2012

Final Day Playoff Scenarios...

Well I hope someday the Minnesota Wild will be part of this post, but unfortunatley, this is not the season.

Still all 30 teams today play in 15 games today, these 9 games have impact on playoff seeding:

Home - Away, Time (CT), TV

Detroit (2:3 SO) Chicago, 12:00 (NBC)
New Jersey (4:2) Ottawa, 2:30
NY Rangers (1:4) Washington, 5:30 (NBCSN)
Florida (4:1) Carolina, 6:30
St. Louis (3:2) Dallas, 7:00
Phoenix (4:1) Minnesota, 7:00 (FS North)
Nashville (6:1) Colorado, 9:00
Edmonton (0:3) Vancouver, 9:30
San Jose (3:2 OT) Los Angeles, 9:30 (NBCSN)

The 16 playoff teams are known, but the order of finish leaves much to be determined.  Before we spell out the scenarios, here are the the current standings among the playoff teams.

EASTERN CONFERENCE
Team - Pts (ROW) > Possible Finish
1 **NY Rangers - 109 (47) >  1
2 **Boston - 102 (40) > 2
3 **Florida -  94 (32) > 3
4 **Pittsburgh    - 108 (42) > 4
5 **Philadelphia  - 103 (43) >  5
6 **New Jersey - 102 (36) > 6
7 **Washington -  92 (38) > 7
8 **Ottawa -  92 (35) >  8

WESTERN CONFERENCE
Team - Pts (ROW) Possible Finish
1 **Vancouver  - 111 (43) > 1
2 **St Louis   - 109 (45) > 2
3 **Phoenix   -  97 (36)  > 3
4 **Nashville - 104 (43) > 4
5 **Detroit - 102 (39) > 5
6 **Chicago -  101 (38) > 6
7 **San Jose -  96 (34) >  7
8 **Los Angeles -  95 (34) >  8

Legend
Pts: Points, ROW: Regulation or Overtime Wins, Possible Finish: Possible conference seeds.
*Game Currently in OT, guaranteed one point included
**All 82 Games Played

Tiebreakers
1) Regulation or Overtime Wins (ROW)
2) Points in Head to Head Games

Today's playoff Scenarios in order of today's schedule...

(I will attempt to update throughout today with underlines, when scenarios match final results, and strikeouts, for scenarios that do not match final results)

Detroit clinches 4th seed in West with
Win with Nashville Regulation Loss

Detroit clinches 5th seed in West with
- Win (with Nashville finishing 4th)
- OT Loss 

Chicago clinches 5th seed in West with
- Regulation Win

Ottawa clinches 7th seed in East with 
- Win
- OT Loss
- Washington Reg/OT Loss
- Florida Reg Loss

NY Rangers win President's Trophy with
- Win
- OT Loss with Vancouver Reg/OT Loss
- Vancouver Reg Loss

Washington wins Southeast Division (3rd seed in East) with
- Win with Florida Reg Loss

Washington clinches 7th seed in East with
- Win with Ottawa Reg Loss (With Florida winning Southeast)

Florida wins Southeast Division (3rd seed in East) with
- Win
- OT Loss
- Washington Reg Loss/OT Loss

Phoenix wins Pacific Division (3rd seed in West) with
- Win
- OT Loss with Los Angeles Reg Loss/OT Loss/SO Win

St Louis wins Western Conference and 1st seed with
- Win with Vancouver Regulation Loss

Nashville clinches 4th seed in West with
- Win
- OT Loss
- Detroit OT Loss/Reg Loss

Vancouver wins Western Conference and 1st seed with
- Win
- OT Loss
- St. Louis Reg/OT Loss

Vancouver Clinches Presdient's Trophy with
- Win with NY Rangers Reg Loss/OT Loss
- OT Loss with NY Rangers Reg Loss

Los Angeles clinches Pacific Division (3rd Seed in West) with
- Win with Phoenix Reg Loss
- Reg/OT Win** with Phoenix OT Loss

San Jose Clinches Pacific (3rd seed in West) with
- Win with Phoenix Regulation Loss

Los Angeles clinches #7 Seed with
- Win (with Phoenix winning Pacific Division)

San Jose Clinches #7 Seed with
- Win (with Phoenix winning Pacific Division)

Note: 
"Win" means Regulation, Overtime, or Shootout Win except where otherwise specified 

(**Los Angeles must defeat San Jose tonight in Regulation or Overtime to win the tiebreaker with Phoenix in the event of a tie at 96 points.  This scenario would give both teams 35 Regulation/Overtime victories, with Los Angeles winning the head-to-head series tiebreaker, 8-7. A Shootout win for Los Angeles in a tie at 96 points, would leave Los Angeles with only 34 Regulation/Overtime victories and Phoenix would win the tiebreaker at 35.)

"OT Loss" means Overtime or Shootout loss.

Phoenix can finish no worse than 7th in the West because they will finish ahead of the loser of tonight's Los Angeles-San Jose game, regardless of tonight's results.

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